Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.196196 0.275346 0.364537 0.470291 0.590338 0.720737 0.871560
2025-11-02 0.090654 0.185968 0.311415 0.476589 0.679123 0.912211 1.194456
2025-11-09 0.034052 0.118103 0.250210 0.441399 0.690307 0.988573 1.360610
2025-11-16 0.006392 0.068177 0.195532 0.400950 0.684781 1.037632 1.489092
2025-11-23 0.000091 0.042601 0.166850 0.387867 0.707874 1.116494 1.648628
2025-11-30 NaN 0.029936 0.155389 0.396670 0.757844 1.227426 1.846030
2025-12-07 NaN 0.017833 0.137941 0.392175 0.786972 1.310096 2.007403
2025-12-14 NaN 0.007649 0.115300 0.374315 0.794205 1.362419 2.129519
2025-12-21 NaN 0.006146 0.119697 0.404128 0.870905 1.506233 2.366885
2025-12-28 NaN 0.005005 0.124587 0.434665 0.948697 1.651638 2.606517
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002988 0.122389 0.451047 1.004974 1.768233 2.809634
2026-01-11 NaN 0.003059 0.132848 0.492310 1.099157 1.935960 3.078201
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002385 0.138408 0.525979 1.185178 2.097222 3.344580
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000726 0.130814 0.532910 1.230774 2.204970 3.544158
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.103963 0.495483 1.205207 2.214411 3.616190
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.077836 0.452447 1.167123 2.204355 3.661267
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.065608 0.438492 1.174074 2.255297 3.784354
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.062680 0.447882 1.219508 2.360146 3.978054
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.055178 0.443088 1.240427 2.430054 4.125652
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.043932 0.424027 1.235655 2.462703 4.223575
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.048749 0.455831 1.319573 2.622586 4.490405
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.053804 0.488337 1.404761 2.784384 4.759920
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.054167 0.505747 1.463623 2.908499 4.979564